I alluded to the fact that the Pirates are the National League's answer to the Royals (bad record, few stars, questionable veteran signings, poor attendance, low hope quotient, not the Cubs), but truth be told, I can't tell why this team has such a terrible record. This isn't a pennant contender, but it's far removed from Terrible. Why do they lose so often? Perhaps the Steelers have leached all their karma away. 1) One of these things is not like the others
9 IP, 1 R
3 2/3 IP, 0 R
2/3 IP, 0 R
1 IP, 1 R
7 IP, 2 R
1 IP, 0 R
2 IP, 0 R
3 2/3 IP, 8 R
Without going into great detail about K rates and ground balls and oscillation overthruster ratios, the simple matter is that everyone pitched brilliantly this weekend (modulo Gil Mota "challenging" Jason Bay) except Jason Johnson, who pitched horrendously. It wasn't a cheap 8 runs, either: he gave up 10 hits, 5 for extra bases (including three jacks), 2 walks, didn't strike anyone out, and generally looked like Denny McClain ... at 50 ... when he weighed 325 pounds and was in prison.
Look, the simple fact is that Jason Johnson does one thing: induce ground balls. Well, that is to say, he does one thing that I would consider valuable for a major-league starter. He actually does many things, but giving up three home runs is not considered as valuable as skill as, say, staying in bed. The stats become terribly misleading at that point: his GB:FB ratio is 8 to 3, but this is because home runs, doubles off the wall, and sharp singles to left aren't counted as either ground balls or fly balls. A better measure would be something like Baseball Prospectus' "ground ball percentage," and the fact is, in the past six starts, Johnson's has been crummy. He doesn't strike anyone out, he doesn't prevent hits, he simply has to keep the ball on the ground, or he is a lump of coal. His fast start fooled me: his first three outings were really quite terrific. Since then? How about a 9.73 ERA?
The plan is to keep him in the rotation. No word on whether the team is planning to reimburse me for my nitroglycerin prescription.
2) From the ridiculous to the sublime
With Johnson in the role of "ridiculous," C.C. Sabathia pitched a real gem on Friday night. It wasn't the shutout Westbrook spun, but in many ways was even more impressive: 3 hits, 1 walk, 9 Ks, 77 strikes in 102 (economical) pitches, including an induced double play. It was the highest "Game Score" thrown in the A.L. (tied with the always-hard-to-top Mark Hendrickson of Tampa Bay): without the home run to Freddy Sanchez in the 4th, it would have been the best in the majors. Not only did it give the 'pen another night off, it won a game where the Tribe wasn't able to put much up against Zach Duke (4 hits, but 6 walks and a homer) and lowered Sabathia's season ERA to 1.95.
I have questioned Sabathia's "Ace-itude" in the past, but there's no question he's our finest pitcher right now.
3) From the sublime to the only partially ridiculous
Earlier in the year, Paul Byrd could pitch arbitrarily badly and still win, as the Tribe supported him with thirty-two runs per start. Okay, not 32, but lots. Lots more than two, that's for sure. So on a day where Good Paul makes a real appearance ( 77.7% strikes, 6 H, 0 BB in 7 IP), the Indians wait until he's showered and dressed before scoring the winning run.
Still, this is a good start. An the fact is, in his last five starts, he's given up 2 in 5, 3 in 7, 4 (3 earned, but he made the error) in 7, 4 in 6, and 2 in 7. Is this $7M worth of pitching? Hard to argue for that. Is it pretty good, pitching that ought to be enough to win most nights? Yeah, it's pretty good.
4) Yes, that will do nicely
Fausto Carmona's return has looked like a wise choice, as his 3 2/3 shutout innings in relief of Johnson were Very Nice Indeed. Nearly 3/4ths of his pitches were strikes, he gave up fewer than a hit an inning, walked nobody, and fanned two. I think his starting stint was enough to balk at insisting on Johnson's head be placed on his platter, but at this point he's an asset to the staff.
Scott Sauerbeck threw two pitches to record two outs, which is not quite record efficiency (he threw a ball and only induced a double, not triple, play), but is Quite Good nonetheless.
Raffy Betancourt threw 9 strikes in 11 pitches in a scorless inning of work. Have I mentioned I like relief pitchers who throw strikes?
5) The end of an era
Casey Blake did not get a hit Friday. Of course, he did walk twice and steal a base.
(His hitting streak now stands at 2.)
By the way, the move up the lineup looks more or less permanent, fitting in the 7 hole twice and once in the 2 slot (where he went two for 5, but K'd twice).
6) Did I say Kenny Lofton Disease?
You might want to forget I said anything. Grady Sizemore not only whacked two more homers (once each Friday and Saturday), but he came through with the game-winning hit Sunday after whiffing four times in five hitless at-bats. I could wax poetic on a conjecture that his recent home run binge influenced his regulation-inning troubles at the plate, but any argument that Sizemore was a negative drag on the Cleveland offense in this series would be an interesting one to ignore.
7) Ducks on the pond!
Ducks weren't a problem Friday, as one of the three Pirates who ran the bases was erased on a double play. And ducks weren't really the problem Saturday, as Johnson threw four innings of BP (we scored six runs on seven hits, hard to argue a lot of inefficiency there anyway). But on Sunday, we appeared to try very, very hard to squander the game with fourteen left hanging, an astonishing SEVEN in scoring position. The fact is, when you stroke seven doubles in eleven hits, draw five walks, and benefit from an error to boot, scoring three runs is astoundingly bad. (Striking out twelve times against luminaries such as Pat Maholm, Matt Capps, and Salomon Torres, who I think once pitched with Warren Spahn, does not help.)
8) A ray of acceleration
Two things struck me as odd this weekend: the aforementioned appearance of Blake in the two hole instead of blindly putting the left fielder (in this case, Hollandsworth) there, and the fact that Merely Big Bob came out for a second inning of work. Not only was Wickman stretched past one inning, something that last happened in 1943, but he was brought into the game in a non-save situation. And it was exactly the right move: we were putting guys on base all over the place, an Wickman is our best short-term run preventer. He isn't our best pitcher or the one with the best ERA, but the fact is, for all the performance analysis in the world, Wickman gives up less than would lose the game. (His ERA is a quite-fine 2.77, BTW.)
Inertia is defined as a body's tendency to remain in the same state in which is starts: that is, it stays at rest, or continues its path. The thing that changes inertia is accelerating, either from rest to begin moving, or to change velocity (as a vector, so including direction). I can't tell if Eric Wedge is moving from rest or simply changing direction, but he did move.
9) Hey, we had one of those!
Lou Merloni's promotion to the bigs could have been more productive. That is, any production would have been more. He went 0-for-6 with 2 Ks, although he did drive in a run and laid down a sacrifice, meaning that he is roughly 0.00% better than Ramon Vazquez. We will see if he is able to maintain this level of Not Production at the level established by Vazquez. (I kinda hope not.)
10) Your baserunning bores me, I tire of it
Sabathia was a piker, inducing but one double play. Saturday and Sunday, the Tribe turned THREE each, including a 3-6-1. I mentioned that I like watching the 3-6-3: I hate watching the 3-6-1, as I expect the pitcher to die. On the other hand, it was Paul Byrd.
May 21, 2006 7:00 PM