It’s that time again!
Time for someone to tell you all about who is going to win amongst a
ton of movies that almost none of you have seen!
Not much chance that I’ll beat
my record from last year, when I went five for six...but you never know.
Just to change things a bit, I’m adding two more categories to my
list.
Best Supporting Actor:
The nominees: Alan Arkin for “Little Miss Sunshine”, Jackie Earle Haley for “Little Children”, Djimon Hounsou for “Blood Diamond”, Eddie Murphy for “Dreamgirls”, Mark Wahlberg for “The Departed.
My Preference: Djimon Hounsou
My Guess for Winning: Eddie Murphy
Details: Very tough field in this group. Haley has to be somewhat a sentimental favorite as no one has seen him since he played the punk in “Bad News Bears”. Arkin stole every scene he was in as the drug using, foul mouthed Grandpa in “Little Miss Sunshine”. But Hounsou was the moral center of “Blood Diamond”, and he gave what I thought was the best performance as the father seeking desperately for his son. But look for Murphy’s over-the-top James Brown channeling to prevail.
My five nominees: Arkin, Hounsou,
Jack Nicholson for “The Departed”, Michael Sheen for “The Queen”,
and Ben Affleck for “Hollywoodland”. (you could also make
a point for Alec Baldwin and Martin Sheen for “The Departed”, along
with Wahlberg).
Best Supporting Actress:
The nominees: Adriana Barraza
for “Babel”, Cate Blanchett for “Notes on a Scandal”, Abigail
Breslin for “Little Miss Sunshine”, Jennifer Hudson for “Dreamgirls”,
and Rinko Kikuchi for “Babel”
My Preference: Rinko Kikuchi
My Guess for Winning: Jennifer
Hudson
Details: Quite frankly, Barraza
and young Miss Breslin should not be on this list. Kikuchi was
the only worthwhile thing to watch in an otherwise retched “Babel”.
But look for Jennifer Hudson to easily walk away for her role as the
more talented, but less photogenic member of “Dreamgirls”.
My five nominees: Blanchett,
Hudson, Kikuchi, Mario Bello for “World Trade Center”, and Emma
Thompson for “Stranger than Fiction”.
Best Actress:
The nominees: Penelope Cruz for ‘Volver”, Judi Dench for "Notes on a Scandal", Helen Mirren for “The Queen, Meryl Streep for “The Devil Wears Prada”, and Kate Winslet for “Little Children”.
My Preference: Helen Mirren
My Guess for Winning: Helen Mirren
Details: What a difference a year
makes. Last year’s nominees (won by Reese Witherspoon) were
unbelievably poor. Mostly due to the fact that there were so few
decent movies with good leading roles for women. Quite the opposite
this year, as the Actress category is undoubtedly stronger than the
list for Best Actor. Bottom line; Helen Mirren gave one of the
best performances I’ve seen from an actress in years, and is the safest
bet on this board.
My five nominees: Dench, Mirren,
Streep, Winslet, and Natalie Portman for “V for Vendetta”.
Best Actor:
The nominees: Leonardo DiCaprio for “Blood Diamond”, Ryan Gosling for “Half Nelson”, Peter O’Toole for “Venus”, Will Smith for “The Pursuit of Happyness, and Forest Whitaker for “The Last King of Scotland”.
My Preference: Leonardo DiCaprio
My Guess for Winning: Forest Whitaker
Details: Just the opposite from
the Best Actress situation, this group can’t hold a candle to last
year’s nominees. Whitaker is the heavy favorite. I saw
“The Last King of Scotland” and he did a fantastic job as lunatic
Idi Amin. But if you stack him up against the nominees from last
year, he’s no better than fourth following Phillip Seymour Hoffman
in “Capote”, Joaquin Phoenix in “Walk the Line” or David Strathairn
in “Good Night and Good Luck”.
My five nominees: Whitaker, Leonardo
DiCaprio for “The Departed”, Clive Owen for “Children of Men”,
Nicolas Cage for “World Trade Center, and Sacha Baron Cohen for “Borat”.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
The nominees: “Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorius Nation of Kazakhstan”, “Children of Men”, “The Departed”, “Little Children”, “Notes on a Scandal”
My Preference: “The Departed”
My Guess for Winning: “The Departed”
Details: This category they got
right. Five excellent films, and not one of them doesn’t deserve
to be here.
My five nominees: Same as above.
Best Original Screenplay:
The nominees: “Babel”, “Letters from Iwo Jima”, “Little Miss Sunshine”, “Pan’s Labyrinth”, “The Queen”.
My Preference: “Letters from
Iwo Jima”
My Guess for Winning: “Babel”
Details: As if you haven’t noticed,
I don’t have a great deal of respect for “Babel” or “Little
Miss Sunshine”.
My five nominees: “Letters from
Iwo Jima”, “Pan’s Labyrinth”, “The Queen”, “Inside Man”,
and “Stranger than Fiction”.
Best Director:
The nominees: Clint Eastwood for
“Letters from Iwo Jima”, Stephen Frears for “The Queen”, Paul
Greengrass for “United 93”, Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for “Babel”,
and Martin Scorsese for “The Departed”
My Preference: Martin Scorsese
My Guess for Winning: Martin Scorsese.
Details: This just simply has
to be Scorsese’s year. He was screwed out of it for “Raging
Bull” and “Goodfellas”, but now should be his time. I know
everyone is wanting to play up the Clint Factor, but that’s just to
stir up some conversations. Clint did a better job two years ago
with “Million Dollar Baby” than Marty did with “The Aviator”.
The opposite is true this time.
My five nominees: Eastwood, Scorsese,
Oliver Stone for “World Trade Center”, Alfonso Cuaron for “Children
of Men”, and Spike Lee for “Inside Man”.
Best Picture:
The nominees: "Babel”,
“The Departed”, “Letters from Iwo Jima”, “Little Miss Sunshine”,
and “The Queen”.
My Preference: “The Departed”
My Guess for Winning: “The Departed”
Details: I think that the anti-Departed
crowd is going to split their votes between the over-rated “Little
Miss Sunshine” and “Crash-Lite” borefest “Babel”. That
clears the way for the Best Damn Movie of the Year to win the Oscar.
My five nominees (Top to bottom),
“The Departed”, “World Trade Center”, “Children of Men”,
“Letters from Iwo Jima”, “The Queen”.
Those are my guesses, and I’m sticking to them just like I stuck to taking the Browns and the points last year against...pretty much everyone. Good thing that I leave the gambling to Swerb.
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