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Browns Browns Archive NFL Outsider - Week Eleven Picks
Written by Chris Hutchison

Chris Hutchison

clockMy apologies to the masses out there expecting the usual debonaire satire - life has prevented me from it this week.

Thus, without further ado, I present to you the current NFL rankings.  The Browns fell a spot in absentia.

Team Wins Losses Ties WP Avg_PF Avg_PA Diff Rank_PF Rank_PA Rank_Final
New Orleans 7 2 0 .778 29.44 18.11 102 2 5 1
Seattle 9 1 0 .900 26.50 15.90 106 6 3 2
Kansas City 9 0 0 1.000 23.89 12.33 104 14 1 3
New England 7 2 0 .778 26.00 19.44 59 8 7 4
San Francisco 6 3 0 .667 25.22 17.22 72 10 4 5
Carolina 6 3 0 .667 23.78 12.78 99 15 2 6
Denver 8 1 0 .889 41.22 26.44 133 1 25 7
Indianapolis 6 3 0 .667 24.67 21.44 29 12 9 8
Cincinnati 6 4 0 .600 23.40 18.60 48 17 6 9
Detroit 6 3 0 .667 26.44 24.00 22 7 18 10
Green Bay 5 4 0 .556 27.22 23.56 33 5 17 11
Chicago 5 4 0 .556 28.78 27.44 12 3 27 12
Dallas 5 5 0 .500 27.40 25.80 16 4 23 13
San Diego 4 5 0 .444 23.56 22.44 10 16 13 14
Philadelphia 5 5 0 .500 25.20 24.40 8 11 20 15
Tennessee 4 5 0 .444 22.22 21.78 4 19 10 16
Baltimore 4 5 0 .444 20.89 21.00 -1 21 8 17
Arizona 5 4 0 .556 20.78 22.00 -11 22 12 18
Miami 4 5 0 .444 21.44 23.22 -16 20 14 19
St. Louis 4 6 0 .400 22.40 23.40 -10 18 16 20
Cleveland 4 5 0 .444 19.11 21.89 -25 26 11 21
Washington 3 6 0 .333 25.56 31.89 -57 9 31 22
N.Y. Jets 5 4 0 .556 18.78 25.67 -62 28 22 23
Pittsburgh 3 6 0 .333 19.89 24.22 -39 25 19 24
Oakland 3 6 0 .333 18.44 24.78 -57 29 21 25
Minnesota 2 7 0 .222 24.44 31.00 -59 13 30 26
Buffalo 3 7 0 .300 19.90 25.90 -60 24 24 27
Tampa Bay 1 8 0 .111 16.22 23.22 -63 31 14 28
N.Y. Giants 3 6 0 .333 18.33 27.00 -78 30 26 29
Atlanta 2 7 0 .222 20.67 27.89 -65 23 29 30
Houston 2 7 0 .222 18.89 27.56 -78 27 28 31
Jacksonville 1 8 0 .111 12.78 32.33 -176 32 32 32

As for the selections, much more successful this week.  Both BT and MO hit their locks (Philly over GB), mine was a split (ARI won but hit the 3 on the nose), whilst poor DJC missed on the UCF selection (win but not cover).

Last Week:

BT: 5-1
MO: 5-1
Me: 3-3
DJC: 1-5

YTD:

BT: 31-29
Me: 29.5 - 30.5
MO: 28.5 - 31.5
DJC: 22-38

This Week's Games:

MSU -6.5 at Nebraska
Texas Tech +27 at Baylor
Stanford -3.5 at USC
ATL -1.5 AT TB
NYJ +1.5 AT BUF
DET -2.5 AT PIT
WAS +3.5 AT PHI
SD -1.5 AT MIA
BAL +3 AT CHI
CLE +6 AT CIN
OAK +7 AT HOU
ARI -7 AT JAX
KC +8 AT DEN
MIN +12.5 AT SEA
SF +3 AT NO
GB +5 AT NYG

 

BT:

Stanford -3.5 at USC - USC is still not goood without Kiffin.  Lock.

PIT +2.5 vs DET - Pittsburgh... paper Lions.

MIA +1.5 vs SD - I like the fish.  Chargers flying east is never good.

CHI -3 vs BAL - Da Bears - McCown is good... or at least a good journeyman.

NO -3 vs SF - Brees at home.  Say no more.

LOCK - Stanford

DJC:

Texas Tech +27 at Baylor - That coach is very handsome.

USC +3.5 vs Stanford - Stanford letdown.

OAK +7 at HOU - I think OAK will cover.

DEN -8 vs KC - Never bet against Peyton.

NYG -5 vs GB - I can't imagine Scott Tolzien is the answer.  Lock.

LOCK - NYG

MO:

Stanford -3.5 at USC - trees fall on Trojans

Nebraska +6.5 vs. Michigan State - don't ask. Call this a hunch or a gut pick. Nebraska has a nasty habit of rising up at the end of the season and dumping a turd in the punch bowl. 

NYJ + 1.5 at BUF - conference game so what, back on my NYJ / NE experiment.

CLE +6 at CIN - am I allowed to pick the Browns? My competition probably thinks this is a NYJ/NE//CLE thing.  Was tempted to make this my lock, but I will spare myself from the calls for my head. 

NO -3 vs SF - the Saints are tough at home - can they keep it up, I think they will (Lock).

LOCK - NO

Me:

TB +1.5 vs ATL - Tampa is playing good right now and I'm not sure how the Falcons are getting points against anyone.  People just can't believe Atlanta's this bad.  Believe your eyes people!  They blow!

CHI -3 at BAL - The Ravens are not good, and the Bears are functional enough with McCown to take this one.

CIN -6 vs CLE - No, I'm not attempting some "if I pick the Browns, they'll lose, so I'll pick against them" internal psychological warfare.  My little calculations tell me Cincy should be favored by 9, which is more than 6, so that is the entire basis of this selection.

OAK +7 at HOU - What is it that people see in Houston for them to give that team a 7 point spread?  Lock.

KC -8 at DEN - Spread is too large in a lower scoring game, especially after Manning gets hurt.

 

 

 

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